globals [ counter nOfWorkers nOfEmployers unNormalisedMeanWage wageIncreaseFactor wageReductionFactor nOfJobOffers recruitingEmployersList ; method 1 totalVacanciesAtEnd totalNewRecruits totalUnfilledVacancies nOfWorkersUnemp nOfJobSeekersEmployed ; analysis unemploymentRate% unemploymentRate%Record meanWageAllJobSeekers meanWageAllJobSeekersRecord meanWageChange% meanWageChange%Record ; error checks vacancyError unempError errorLastEmployer wageError employerError errorRecruits ] breed [workers worker] breed [employers employer] workers-own [ myWage myLastWage myEmployer myLastEmployer tempStatus newEmploymentStatus newEmployers outcome myNewEmployer myNewWage myWageChange% ] employers-own [ mySize myEmployees listOfMyWages myTotalVacancies myWageOffer myVacancyWages myNewTotalVacancies myNewVacancyWages myMaxWageOffer myPossibleEmployees myLatestRecruit myNewRecruits listMyNewRecuits myUnfilledVacancies myUnfilledVacancyWages ] ;_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ to setup ; no visualisation needed but may need to look at characteristics of agents clear-all ask patches [set pcolor white] set nOfWorkers 1000 set nOfEmployers 100 set wageIncreaseFactor ( 1 + ( maxWageIncrease% / 100 )) set wageReductionFactor ( 1 - ( maxWageReduction% / 100 )) set nOfJobOffers nOfJobseekers ; nOfJobSeekers set by slider set unemploymentRate%Record [ ] set meanWageAllJobSeekersRecord [ ] set meanWageChange%Record [ ] end ;-------------------------------------------------------------------- to go ; to give each worker a wage from a log-normal distribution repeat n-of-repeats [ clear-turtles set counter counter + 1 ; initialise-globals initialise-workers initialise-employers ; match workers and employers ask employers [ ask n-of mySize workers with [ myEmployer = nobody ] [ set myEmployer myself ] set myEmployees count workers with [ myEmployer = myself ] set listOfMyWages [ myWage ] of workers with [ myEmployer = myself ] set myTotalVacancies 0 set myVacancyWages [ ] ] ask n-of nOfJobseekers workers [ set tempStatus "unemployed" ask myEmployer [ calculate-vacancies ] become-unemployed ] ask employers [ set myEmployees count workers with [ myEmployer = myself ] ] if any? employers with [ ( mySize - myEmployees ) != myTotalVacancies ] [ set vacancyError "Yes" ] ; job-market recruit ; employer-led analyse-results ] if n-of-repeats > 1 [ record-results ] end ;_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ;PROCEDURES ;_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ to initialise-workers create-workers nOfWorkers ask workers [ locate set shape "person" set color blue set size 7 set myEmployer nobody ] ask workers [ set myWage ( 10 * ( e ^ random-normal 1 0.7 ) ) ] set unNormalisedMeanWage mean [ myWage] of workers ask workers [ set myWage precision ( myWage * 100 / unNormalisedMeanWage ) 0 ] end ;------------------------------------------------- to initialise-employers create-employers nOfEmployers ask employers [ locate set shape "pentagon" set color black set size 7 set mySize 0 set myEmployees 0 set listOfMyWages [ ] set myTotalVacancies 0 set myVacancyWages [ ] set myVacancyWages [ ] set myWageOffer 0 set myMaxWageOffer 0 set myNewRecruits 0 set myNewTotalVacancies 0 set listMyNewRecuits [ ] set myUnfilledVacancyWages [ ] ] setInitialSize 1 100 setInitialSize 1 97 setInitialSize 3 50 setInitialSize 4 30 setInitialSize 27 15 setInitialSize 64 2 ask employers with [ mySize > 95 ] [ set size 14 ] end ;-------------------------------------------- to locate ; used by workers and employers setxy random-pxcor random-pycor if any? other turtles-here [ let empty-patches patches with [ not any? turtles-here ] if not any? empty-patches [ show "Run out of empty patches!"] move-to one-of empty-patches ] end ;------------------------------------------- to setInitialSize [ numberOfEmployers employerSize ] ask n-of numberOfEmployers employers with [ mySize = 0 ] [ set mySize employerSize ] end ;-------------------------------------------- to become-unemployed set myLastEmployer myEmployer set myEmployer nobody set myLastWage myWage set myWage 0 set color red set tempStatus 0 end ;--------------------------------------------- to calculate-vacancies ; employer action initiated by workers becoming unemployed set myWageOffer [ myWage ] of myself create-vacancy set color green end ;--------------------------------------------- ; a set of employer actions - used by workers who quit and new employers to create-vacancy ; employer action set myTotalVacancies ( myTotalVacancies + 1 ) set myVacancyWages lput myWageOffer myVacancyWages end ;------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ; Job search to recruit ; sets variables for this method ask employers with [ myTotalVacancies > 0 ] [ set myNewTotalVacancies myTotalVacancies set myVacancyWages myVacancyWages set myVacancyWages sort-by > myVacancyWages ] ask workers with [ myEmployer = nobody ] [ set myNewEmployer nobody ] ; employers list vacancies by order of size of wage offer, starting with highest repeat nOfJobOffers [ ask employers with [ myNewTotalVacancies > 0 ] [ set myMaxWageOffer item 0 myVacancyWages ] ; to sort employers by highest wage offered set recruitingEmployersList sort-by [ [ myMaxWageOffer ] of ?1 >= [ myMaxWageOffer ] of ?2 ] employers with [ myNewTotalVacancies > 0 ] ask item 0 recruitingEmployersList ; employer offering highest wage [ set myPossibleEmployees workers with [ myNewEmployer = nobody and myLastEmployer != myself and wageIncreaseFactor * myLastWage >= [ myMaxWageOffer ] of myself and wageReductionFactor * myLastWage <= [ myMaxWageOffer ] of myself ] ; employer selects worker with highest last wage if myPossibleEmployees != nobody [ set myLatestRecruit max-one-of myPossibleEmployees [ myLastWage ] ] ; employee if myLatestRecruit != nobody [ ask myLatestRecruit [ set myNewEmployer myself set myWage [ myMaxWageOffer ] of myNewEmployer set myWageChange% precision ( ( myWage - myLastWage ) / myLastWage * 100 ) 1 set color violet set tempStatus "Into work" ] ; end of worker actions ; employer actions set myNewRecruits ( myNewRecruits + 1 ) set listMyNewRecuits lput myLatestRecruit listMyNewRecuits ] ; employer actions whether or not job filled; as not rolling forward, does not matter whether vacancy filled set myNewTotalVacancies ( myNewTotalVacancies - 1 ) if myLatestRecruit = nobody [ set myUnfilledVacancies ( myUnfilledVacancies + 1 ) set myUnfilledVacancyWages lput ( item 0 myVacancyWages ) myUnfilledVacancyWages ] set myVacancyWages remove-item 0 myVacancyWages ] ; to end actions by item 0 ] ; to end repeat set totalVacanciesAtEnd sum [ myUnfilledVacancies ] of employers if totalVacanciesAtEnd != count workers with [ myEmployer = nobody and myNewEmployer = nobody ] [ set unempError "Yes" ] set totalNewRecruits sum [ myNewRecruits ] of employers set totalUnfilledVacancies sum [ myUnfilledVacancyWages ] of employers ; error check if any? workers with [ myNewEmployer != 0 and myLastEmployer != 0 and myNewEmployer = myLastEmployer ] [ set errorLastEmployer "Yes"] if count workers with [ tempStatus = "Into work" and myWageChange% >= 0 and myWageChange% > maxWageIncrease% ] > 0 [ set wageError "Yes" ] if count workers with [ tempStatus = "Into work" and myWageChange% <= 0 and myWageChange% < (- maxWageReduction% ) ] > 0 [ set wageError "Yes" ] if any? employers with [ myUnfilledVacancies + myNewRecruits != myTotalVacancies] [ set employerError "Yes" ] ; record results set nOfWorkersUnemp count workers with [ myEmployer = nobody and myNewEmployer = nobody ] set nOfJobSeekersEmployed ( nOfJobSeekers - nOfWorkersUnemp ) if nOfJobSeekersEmployed != totalNewRecruits [ set errorRecruits "Yes" ] set unemploymentRate% precision ( count workers with [ myEmployer = nobody and myNewEmployer = nobody ] / nOfWorkers * 100 ) 2 set unemploymentRate%Record lput unemploymentRate% unemploymentRate%Record end ;________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ;RESULTS ;________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ to analyse-results ; change in wages set meanWageChange% mean [ myWageChange%] of workers with [ tempStatus = "Into work" ] set meanWageChange%Record lput meanWageChange% meanWageChange%Record end ;-------------------------------------------- to record-results ; clean up data set meanWageAllJobSeekersRecord remove 0 meanWageAllJobSeekersRecord ; write results to file file-open (word "Job search-"nOfJobSeekers"-"maxWageIncrease%"-"maxWageReduction%"-"n-of-repeats".csv") file-print ( word "nOfJobSeekers " nOfJobSeekers ) file-print ( word "maxWageIncrease% " maxWageIncrease% ) file-print ( word "maxWageReduction% "maxWageReduction% ) file-print (word "number-of-repeats " n-of-repeats ) file-print " " file-print (word "Unemployment rate %:" ) file-print (word "- mean: " precision ( mean unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 " (sd " precision standard-deviation ( unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 " )" ) file-print (word "- min: " precision ( min unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 ) file-print (word "- max: " precision ( max unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 ) file-print " " file-print "Wages " file-print (word "Mean change in wages % " precision ( mean meanWageChange%Record ) 2 " (sd " precision ( standard-deviation meanWageChange%Record ) 2 ")" ) file-close ; output to interface output-print (word "Unemployment rate %:" ) output-print (word "- mean: " precision ( mean unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 " (sd " precision standard-deviation ( unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 " )" ) output-print (word "- min: " precision ( min unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 ) output-print (word "- max: " precision ( max unemploymentRate%Record ) 2 ) output-print " " output-print "Wages " output-print (word "Mean change in wages % " precision ( mean meanWageChange%Record ) 2 " (sd " precision ( standard-deviation meanWageChange%Record ) 2 ")" ) end ;___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ;___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ @#$#@#$#@ GRAPHICS-WINDOW 617 10 1264 680 314 315 1.013 1 9 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 -314 314 -315 315 0 0 0 ticks 30.0 BUTTON 16 10 79 43 NIL setup NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 BUTTON 17 47 80 80 NIL go NIL 1 T OBSERVER NIL NIL NIL NIL 1 OUTPUT 23 143 564 264 12 SLIDER 356 10 528 43 nOfJobseekers nOfJobseekers 0 200 100 10 1 NIL HORIZONTAL SLIDER 355 45 586 78 maxWageIncrease% maxWageIncrease% 0 100 10 1 1 NIL HORIZONTAL SLIDER 356 83 587 116 maxWageReduction% maxWageReduction% 0 100 10 1 1 NIL HORIZONTAL CHOOSER 150 15 288 60 n-of-repeats n-of-repeats 1 2 10 100 2 MONITOR 35 310 134 355 NIL errorLastEmployer 0 1 11 MONITOR 36 363 134 408 NIL wageError 0 1 11 MONITOR 36 491 134 536 NIL employerError 0 1 11 MONITOR 36 438 135 483 NIL vacancyError 0 1 11 MONITOR 37 571 138 616 NIL unempError 0 1 11 MONITOR 38 626 139 671 NIL errorRecruits 0 1 11 MONITOR 152 62 209 107 NIL counter 0 1 11 TEXTBOX 498 290 618 396 In last run:\nWORKERS\nVoilet = found new job\nRed= unemployed\nEMPLOYERS\nGreen = vacancy(ies) 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 160 498 503 542 \"Yes\" if any employers with [ myUnfilledVacancies + myNewRecruits != myTotalVacancies] 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 166 638 456 658 \"Yes\" if nOfJobSeekersEmployed != totalNewRecruits 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 163 316 382 334 \"Yes\" if myNewEmployer = myLastEmployer 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 38 285 188 303 WORKER CHECKS 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 48 553 147 571 MACRO CHECKS 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 164 373 422 401 \"Yes\" if wage chage outside specified range 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 166 584 535 611 \"Yes\" if totalVacanciesAtEnd != count workers with [ myEmployer = nobody and myNewEmployer = nobody ] 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 163 440 501 496 \"Yes\" if any employers with [ ( mySize - myEmployees ) != myTotalVacancies ] 11 0.0 1 TEXTBOX 43 416 193 434 EMPLOYER CHECKS 11 0.0 1 @#$#@#$#@ ## WHAT IS IT? This is a simple model of job search. ## HOW IT WORKS 100 employers are created, varying in size from 2 to 100. 1,000 workers are created and alloacted wages from a log normal distribution, normalised so that the average wage equals 100. The workers are allocated to the employers. A number of workers - detemined by the slider nOfJobseekers - leave their employers and enter the job market. This leaves matching vacancies. Workers and vacancies are then matched. However, workers are NOT allowed to return to their old jobs. Employers offer the same wage as they paid the workers who left. Workers seek the same or similiar wages, depending on the degree of 'stickiness' - set by the maxWageIncrease% and maxWagereduction% sliders. The highest wages are offered and the highest paid job seeker are matched first. This minimises unemployment. Vacancies are listed, starting with the highest paid. The key coding is: ; employers list vacancies by order of size of wage offer, starting with highest repeat nOfJobOffers ask employers with [ myTotalVacanciesM1 > 0 ] [ set myMaxWageOffer item myVacancyWagesM1 ] ; to sort employers by highest wage offered set recruitingEmployersList sort-by [ [ myMaxWageOffer ] of ?1 >= [ myMaxWageOffer ] of ?2 ] employers with [ myTotalVacanciesM1 > 0 ] ask item 0 recruitingEmployersList ; employer offering highest wage [ set myPossibleEmployees workers with [ myEmployerM1 = nobody and myLastEmployer != myself and wageIncreaseFactor * myLastWage >= [ myMaxWageOffer ] of myself and wageReductionFactor * myLastWage <= [ myMaxWageOffer ] of myself ] if myPossibleEmployees != nobody [ set myLatestRecruit max-one-of myPossibleEmployees [ myLastWage ] ] ### Outputs The model reports the unemployment rate and the change in wages, writing to both the interface and a file.. ### Verification However, as there is some very complicated programming involved in this job-search model, so to be sure that it is working as intended, several verification checks are carried out, at both the micro and the macro level and the results are shown on the interface. Checks at the micro level: Workers • Do any job-seekers receive wage increases outside the specified range? If so, then the wage restrictions have not been modelled correctly. • Have any workers been re-employed by their last employer? This is not supposed to happen as if it did all the job-seekers could simply slot back into the jobs they have just left. Employers • Does the sum of the number of employees and the number of vacancies equal the employer’s size? • Are there any employers for whom the sum of their unfilled vacancies and new recruits not equal their total initial vacancies? If not, then the recruitment process has not been modelled correctly. Checks at the macro level: • Do the total vacancies equal the total number of workers with no employers? If not, there is an error because the overall demand for labour is set to equal the overall supply. • Do the total new recruits equal the total number of workers who have found jobs? If not, then the recruitment process has not been modelled correctly. ## TO RUN Set the number of job seekers, the maxWageIncrease% and maxWageReduction% sliders. Set the number of repeats. ## CREDITS AND REFERENCES Runs on NetLogo 5.2. For more information, see Hamill, L. & Gilbert, N. (2016) Agent-based Modelling in Economics. Wiley: Chapter 7. To refer to this model: Hamill, L. & Gilbert, N. (2016) Job Search model. @#$#@#$#@ default true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 5 40 250 150 205 260 250 airplane true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 135 15 120 60 120 105 15 165 15 195 120 180 135 240 105 270 120 285 150 270 180 285 210 270 165 240 180 180 285 195 285 165 180 105 180 60 165 15 arrow true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 0 0 150 105 150 105 293 195 293 195 150 300 150 box false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 285 285 225 285 75 150 135 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 135 15 75 150 15 285 75 Polygon -7500403 true true 15 75 15 225 150 285 150 135 Line -16777216 false 150 285 150 135 Line -16777216 false 150 135 15 75 Line -16777216 false 150 135 285 75 bug true 0 Circle -7500403 true true 96 182 108 Circle -7500403 true true 110 127 80 Circle -7500403 true true 110 75 80 Line -7500403 true 150 100 80 30 Line -7500403 true 150 100 220 30 butterfly true 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 165 209 199 225 225 225 255 195 270 165 255 150 240 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 165 89 198 75 225 75 255 105 270 135 255 150 240 Polygon -7500403 true true 139 148 100 105 55 90 25 90 10 105 10 135 25 180 40 195 85 194 139 163 Polygon -7500403 true true 162 150 200 105 245 90 275 90 290 105 290 135 275 180 260 195 215 195 162 165 Polygon -16777216 true false 150 255 135 225 120 150 135 120 150 105 165 120 180 150 165 225 Circle -16777216 true false 135 90 30 Line -16777216 false 150 105 195 60 Line -16777216 false 150 105 105 60 car false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 300 180 279 164 261 144 240 135 226 132 213 106 203 84 185 63 159 50 135 50 75 60 0 150 0 165 0 225 300 225 300 180 Circle -16777216 true false 180 180 90 Circle -16777216 true false 30 180 90 Polygon -16777216 true false 162 80 132 78 134 135 209 135 194 105 189 96 180 89 Circle -7500403 true true 47 195 58 Circle -7500403 true true 195 195 58 circle false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 0 0 300 circle 2 false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 0 0 300 Circle -16777216 true false 30 30 240 cow false 0 Polygon 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Circle -7500403 true true 70 85 38 Circle -7500403 true true 130 25 38 Circle -7500403 true true 96 51 108 Circle -16777216 true false 113 68 74 Polygon -10899396 true false 189 233 219 188 249 173 279 188 234 218 Polygon -10899396 true false 180 255 150 210 105 210 75 240 135 240 house false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 45 120 255 285 Rectangle -16777216 true false 120 210 180 285 Polygon -7500403 true true 15 120 150 15 285 120 Line -16777216 false 30 120 270 120 leaf false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 210 135 195 120 210 60 210 30 195 60 180 60 165 15 135 30 120 15 105 40 104 45 90 60 90 90 105 105 120 120 120 105 60 120 60 135 30 150 15 165 30 180 60 195 60 180 120 195 120 210 105 240 90 255 90 263 104 285 105 270 120 285 135 240 165 240 180 270 195 240 210 180 210 165 195 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 195 135 240 120 255 105 255 105 285 135 285 165 240 165 195 line true 0 Line -7500403 true 150 0 150 300 line half true 0 Line -7500403 true 150 0 150 150 pentagon false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 15 15 120 60 285 240 285 285 120 person false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 110 5 80 Polygon -7500403 true true 105 90 120 195 90 285 105 300 135 300 150 225 165 300 195 300 210 285 180 195 195 90 Rectangle -7500403 true true 127 79 172 94 Polygon -7500403 true true 195 90 240 150 225 180 165 105 Polygon -7500403 true true 105 90 60 150 75 180 135 105 plant false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 135 90 165 300 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 255 90 210 45 195 75 255 135 285 Polygon -7500403 true true 165 255 210 210 255 195 225 255 165 285 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 180 90 135 45 120 75 180 135 210 Polygon -7500403 true true 165 180 165 210 225 180 255 120 210 135 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 105 90 60 45 45 75 105 135 135 Polygon -7500403 true true 165 105 165 135 225 105 255 45 210 60 Polygon -7500403 true true 135 90 120 45 150 15 180 45 165 90 square false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 30 30 270 270 square 2 false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 30 30 270 270 Rectangle -16777216 true false 60 60 240 240 star false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 151 1 185 108 298 108 207 175 242 282 151 216 59 282 94 175 3 108 116 108 target false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 0 0 300 Circle -16777216 true false 30 30 240 Circle -7500403 true true 60 60 180 Circle -16777216 true false 90 90 120 Circle -7500403 true true 120 120 60 tree false 0 Circle -7500403 true true 118 3 94 Rectangle -6459832 true false 120 195 180 300 Circle -7500403 true true 65 21 108 Circle -7500403 true true 116 41 127 Circle -7500403 true true 45 90 120 Circle -7500403 true true 104 74 152 triangle false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 30 15 255 285 255 triangle 2 false 0 Polygon -7500403 true true 150 30 15 255 285 255 Polygon -16777216 true false 151 99 225 223 75 224 truck false 0 Rectangle -7500403 true true 4 45 195 187 Polygon -7500403 true true 296 193 296 150 259 134 244 104 208 104 207 194 Rectangle -1 true false 195 60 195 105 Polygon -16777216 true false 238 112 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